Predictive Intelligence

Threat Radar

AI flags emerging actor patterns before they hit sanctions lists — scored on risk velocity, typology breadth, sanctioned-counterparty exposure and infrastructure churn. Fully glass-box.

What the Threat Radar delivers

The Threat Radar is an early-warning system. It predicts which actors are trending toward sanctions designation or typology escalation before they hit official lists — so you can act first instead of reacting. Every prediction is fully explainable.

What it scores (the drivers)
Risk velocity

How high and how fast an actor's risk score is climbing toward critical.

Typology breadth

How many distinct laundering typologies overlap on the same actor.

Sanctioned-counterparty exposure

High-risk / critical wallets present in the actor's cluster.

Infrastructure churn

Spread and turnover of hosting, marketplaces and proxy infrastructure.

How to use it — step by step
  1. 1

    Hit "Run Radar Scan" (top-right). The AI analyzes every monitored actor NOT yet sanctioned — the radar is for catching threats early.

  2. 2

    Each emerging threat appears as a card with a probability %, a severity, a time horizon (e.g. ~30 days) and the predicted event (sanctions, escalation, cluster expansion…).

  3. 3

    Every card is glass-box: the "driver" tags and reasoning line show exactly why the actor was flagged — no black box.

  4. 4

    The 3 cards up top summarize active signals, how many are critical, and the average probability across all flags.

  5. 5

    Click an actor's name on a card to jump straight to its full profile and investigate or escalate to a case.

  6. 6

    Re-run the scan anytime — it always reflects your latest actor, wallet and infrastructure data, and refreshes the active signals list.

No signals yet? It just means no monitored actor currently passes the radar threshold — add or enrich actors and run the scan again.
Active Signals
10
Critical
3
Avg Probability
69%
critical
Accelerating

Cluster expansion accelerating

92%
prob.
Wizard Spider
~78d horizon•Typology Escalation
rapid wallet rotationco-spend with sanctioned wallet

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

critical
Stable

Likely sanctions designation within 90 days

92%
prob.
Conti Syndicate
~28d horizon•Infrastructure Migration
OSINT chatter spikerising mixer usageco-spend with sanctioned walletnew bridge activity

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

critical
Stable

Likely sanctions designation within 90 days

81%
prob.
Karakurt Extortion
~53d horizon•Sanctions Designation
new bridge activityrapid wallet rotation

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

high
Rising

Cluster expansion accelerating

78%
prob.
Vidar Stealer Crew
~62d horizon•Infrastructure Migration
rapid wallet rotationnew bridge activityrising mixer usageco-spend with sanctioned wallet

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

high
Stable

Likely sanctions designation within 90 days

77%
prob.
Scattered Spider
~21d horizon•Sanctions Designation
OSINT chatter spikenew bridge activityrapid wallet rotation

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

high
Cooling

Infrastructure migration detected

66%
prob.
Hydra Market Operators
~113d horizon•New Laundering Route
new bridge activityrising mixer usagerapid wallet rotation

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

medium
Accelerating

Likely sanctions designation within 90 days

57%
prob.
Hydra Market Operators
~45d horizon•Typology Escalation
rising mixer usageco-spend with sanctioned wallet

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

medium
Cooling

Infrastructure migration detected

55%
prob.
Hydra Market Operators
~45d horizon•Typology Escalation
rapid wallet rotationrising mixer usagenew bridge activityco-spend with sanctioned wallet

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

medium
Stable

New laundering route emerging

50%
prob.
Tornado Cash Cluster
~71d horizon•Sanctions Designation
OSINT chatter spikeco-spend with sanctioned wallet

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

medium
Cooling

Cluster expansion accelerating

45%
prob.
Silk Road Remnant
~15d horizon•New Laundering Route
rising mixer usageco-spend with sanctioned wallet

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.