Predictive Intelligence

Threat Radar

AI flags emerging actor patterns before they hit sanctions lists — scored on risk velocity, typology breadth, sanctioned-counterparty exposure and infrastructure churn. Fully glass-box.

What the Threat Radar delivers

The Threat Radar is an early-warning system. It predicts which actors are trending toward sanctions designation or typology escalation before they hit official lists — so you can act first instead of reacting. Every prediction is fully explainable.

What it scores (the drivers)
Risk velocity

How high and how fast an actor's risk score is climbing toward critical.

Typology breadth

How many distinct laundering typologies overlap on the same actor.

Sanctioned-counterparty exposure

High-risk / critical wallets present in the actor's cluster.

Infrastructure churn

Spread and turnover of hosting, marketplaces and proxy infrastructure.

How to use it — step by step
  1. 1

    Hit "Run Radar Scan" (top-right). The AI analyzes every monitored actor NOT yet sanctioned — the radar is for catching threats early.

  2. 2

    Each emerging threat appears as a card with a probability %, a severity, a time horizon (e.g. ~30 days) and the predicted event (sanctions, escalation, cluster expansion…).

  3. 3

    Every card is glass-box: the "driver" tags and reasoning line show exactly why the actor was flagged — no black box.

  4. 4

    The 3 cards up top summarize active signals, how many are critical, and the average probability across all flags.

  5. 5

    Click an actor's name on a card to jump straight to its full profile and investigate or escalate to a case.

  6. 6

    Re-run the scan anytime — it always reflects your latest actor, wallet and infrastructure data, and refreshes the active signals list.

No signals yet? It just means no monitored actor currently passes the radar threshold — add or enrich actors and run the scan again.
Active Signals
15
Critical
5
Avg Probability
69%
critical
Accelerating

Likely sanctions designation within 90 days

93%
prob.
TraderTraitor
~34d horizonInfrastructure Migration
rising mixer usagerapid wallet rotation

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

critical
Stable

Likely sanctions designation within 90 days

87%
prob.
Pig-Butchering Network
~111d horizonSanctions Designation
rapid wallet rotationco-spend with sanctioned walletrising mixer usagenew bridge activity

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

critical
Accelerating

Typology escalation likely

87%
prob.
BlackCat / ALPHV
~66d horizonCluster Expansion
rising mixer usagerapid wallet rotationco-spend with sanctioned walletnew bridge activity

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

critical
Accelerating

Cluster expansion accelerating

82%
prob.
Sinbad Mixer Ring
~32d horizonTypology Escalation
co-spend with sanctioned walletrapid wallet rotation

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

critical
Rising

Typology escalation likely

81%
prob.
Lazarus Group
~68d horizonTypology Escalation
rapid wallet rotationrising mixer usagenew bridge activity

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

high
Rising

Likely sanctions designation within 90 days

77%
prob.
Lazarus Group
~71d horizonCluster Expansion
OSINT chatter spikerapid wallet rotation

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

high
Accelerating

Infrastructure migration detected

77%
prob.
TraderTraitor
~81d horizonCluster Expansion
rapid wallet rotationrising mixer usage

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

high
Cooling

Likely sanctions designation within 90 days

72%
prob.
FIN7 / Carbanak
~14d horizonCluster Expansion
new bridge activityOSINT chatter spikerising mixer usage

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

high
Accelerating

New laundering route emerging

69%
prob.
Scattered Spider
~50d horizonInfrastructure Migration
co-spend with sanctioned walletrapid wallet rotationOSINT chatter spikerising mixer usage

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

high
Rising

Typology escalation likely

65%
prob.
FIN7 / Carbanak
~120d horizonCluster Expansion
rising mixer usageOSINT chatter spikenew bridge activityrapid wallet rotation

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

medium
Cooling

Typology escalation likely

53%
prob.
Hydra Market Operators
~84d horizonSanctions Designation
new bridge activityOSINT chatter spikeco-spend with sanctioned walletrising mixer usage

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

medium
Accelerating

Cluster expansion accelerating

48%
prob.
Karakurt Extortion
~68d horizonNew Laundering Route
OSINT chatter spikeco-spend with sanctioned wallet

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

medium
Cooling

Typology escalation likely

48%
prob.
Sinbad Mixer Ring
~14d horizonTypology Escalation
co-spend with sanctioned walletrapid wallet rotation

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

medium
Accelerating

Cluster expansion accelerating

48%
prob.
Tornado Cash Cluster
~77d horizonSanctions Designation
rapid wallet rotationco-spend with sanctioned walletOSINT chatter spike

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.

medium
Cooling

New laundering route emerging

47%
prob.
Garantex OTC Desk
~22d horizonInfrastructure Migration
co-spend with sanctioned walletOSINT chatter spikenew bridge activityrising mixer usage

Model flags this actor based on accelerating high-risk on-chain behavior and OSINT corroboration.